It was a sort of shocking but not at all surprising experience to watch IBM’s Watson annihilate its human competition in tonight’s Jeopardy. I watched with my daughters (who were charmed by Watson’s politeness and expression) and it was all we could talk about afterwards. As a programmer, I’m awed. Watson is amazing.
But my first and biggest reaction? I wish we had Watson not Google. After all, what's search but a collosal game of Jeopardy? Using Watson would be so much better than search that the experience would hardly seem comparable; like pitting a ride on a crippled donkey to a space shot heading to Mars as alternative forms of transportation. Of course, the cost per answer for Watson is currently much too high to scale to such trivial pursuits. Yet Watson, surely, is a peek into a not so distant future when search as we know it will be a thing of the past.
Nor should we forget that as amazing as Watson is, it just plays Jeopardy.
Watson could not pass a Turing Test nor even come close to doing so – but perhaps that is the next great challenge – and after seeing Watson it does not seem as far off as I might have thought. To pass a Turing Test would require much more than Watson’s excellent ability to decipher meaning and context in natural language and rapidly retrieve information. Much, much more. It is, nevertheless, a significant piece of a much larger puzzle and Watson seems to solve it at a level that is well beyond anything we have seen before in a controlled environment of the richness and complexity of Jeopardy.
A very cool glimpse into the future. “What is Watson?”
We are lovers of Jeopardy at our house too. I grew up watching it with my grandmother and have passed that love onto my 9 year old son. I was most intrigued with the answers that Watson didn't get right. I tried identify the common thread but never really did. Watson seemed to miss some that were related to puns or uncommon use of words, missing the subtly of the clues. And then of course, there was the response that Toronto is a US city. I hope to see the learnings from Watson put to good use in my lifetime.
Posted by: Jennifer Wilson | February 17, 2011 at 11:28 AM